NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA DAL
Points 111.1 117.5
Total Points   228.6
Points From 2-Pointers 56.8 61.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.5 40.2
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.9
Shooting SA DAL
Field Goals Made 41.2 44.1
Field Goals Attempted 90.5 91.6
Field Goal % 45.5% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 28.4 30.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 55.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.1% 55.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.8 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.0 36.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 21.1
Free Throw % 77.6% 75.3%
Ball Control SA DAL
Rebounds 51.4 50.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.4 39.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.6
Turnovers 13.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.8
Steals 6.3 7.5
Fouls 16.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA DAL
Total Possessions 104.2
Effective Scoring Chances 102.6 103.6
% of Possessions with SA DAL
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 31.2%
Player Fouled 15.2% 16.0%
Turnover 13.0% 10.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA DAL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 21.2%