NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA OKC
Points 108.7 120.6
Total Points   229.3
Points From 2-Pointers 52.7 66.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.6 37.8
Points From Free Throws 16.3 16.3
Shooting SA OKC
Field Goals Made 39.6 45.9
Field Goals Attempted 89.6 92.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 26.4 33.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.9 60.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 12.6
3 Pointers Attempted 37.7 32.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 39.1%
Free Throws Made 16.3 16.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 19.9
Free Throw % 77.6% 82.0%
Ball Control SA OKC
Rebounds 50.8 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.9 39.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.0 9.7
Turnovers 15.6 11.5
Blocked Shots 6.0 6.0
Steals 6.3 9.1
Fouls 15.6 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA OKC
Total Possessions 104.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.1 103.0
% of Possessions with SA OKC
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 27.6%
Player Fouled 15.0% 14.9%
Turnover 14.9% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA OKC
Shot Blocked 6.6% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 20.5%