NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA MIN
Points 119.3 112.7
Total Points   232.1
Points From 2-Pointers 68.4 53.3
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 41.4
Points From Free Throws 22.1 18.1
Shooting SA MIN
Field Goals Made 43.8 40.4
Field Goals Attempted 89.5 92.1
Field Goal % 48.9% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 34.2 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 64.5 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 53.0% 50.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 13.8
3 Pointers Attempted 25.0 39.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 22.1 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 27.1 24.2
Free Throw % 81.5% 74.8%
Ball Control SA MIN
Rebounds 53.7 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 43.2 37.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.2
Turnovers 12.6 12.8
Blocked Shots 6.4 5.1
Steals 7.1 7.2
Fouls 17.7 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA MIN
Total Possessions 107.2
Effective Scoring Chances 105.1 105.6
% of Possessions with SA MIN
2 Point Attempt 53.9% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 20.9% 32.4%
Player Fouled 17.5% 16.5%
Turnover 11.8% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA MIN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 20.6%