NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SA WAS
Points 121.1 114.9
Total Points   235.9
Points From 2-Pointers 68.6 64.7
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 35.6
Points From Free Throws 17.6 14.6
Shooting SA WAS
Field Goals Made 45.9 44.2
Field Goals Attempted 92.2 94.4
Field Goal % 49.8% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 34.3 32.3
2 Pointers Attempted 58.5 60.5
2 Point Shooting % 58.6% 53.4%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 17.6 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 19.0
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.8%
Ball Control SA WAS
Rebounds 54.4 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 41.7 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.0
Turnovers 13.7 12.5
Blocked Shots 7.5 4.5
Steals 6.9 8.0
Fouls 14.8 17.1

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SA WAS
Total Possessions 106.7
Effective Scoring Chances 105.8 104.2
% of Possessions with SA WAS
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.8% 28.3%
Player Fouled 16.0% 13.8%
Turnover 12.8% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken SA WAS
Shot Blocked 4.9% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 19.3%