NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO PHI
Points 113.2 110.5
Total Points   223.7
Points From 2-Pointers 57.9 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 37.5
Points From Free Throws 20.4 18.9
Shooting PHO PHI
Field Goals Made 40.6 39.6
Field Goals Attempted 83.4 90.7
Field Goal % 48.7% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 56.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.3% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 12.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 34.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 20.4 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 23.0
Free Throw % 80.7% 82.0%
Ball Control PHO PHI
Rebounds 51.5 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 39.3 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 12.2 13.3
Turnovers 14.2 10.1
Blocked Shots 6.5 5.4
Steals 5.6 8.2
Fouls 15.9 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO PHI
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 98.3 103.4
% of Possessions with PHO PHI
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 29.8%
Player Fouled 19.0% 15.8%
Turnover 14.2% 10.1%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO PHI
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 25.2%