NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO CLE
Points 119.1 100.9
Total Points   220.0
Points From 2-Pointers 66.0 55.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.9 28.8
Points From Free Throws 15.2 17.0
Shooting PHO CLE
Field Goals Made 45.6 37.2
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 84.0
Field Goal % 52.5% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 33.0 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 55.1 54.6
2 Point Shooting % 59.9% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.6 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 31.9 29.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.6% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 15.2 17.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 22.6
Free Throw % 84.7% 75.2%
Ball Control PHO CLE
Rebounds 47.5 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 33.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.4
Turnovers 11.3 13.8
Blocked Shots 5.5 3.1
Steals 7.5 6.2
Fouls 17.7 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO CLE
Total Possessions 99.6
Effective Scoring Chances 97.6 97.1
% of Possessions with PHO CLE
2 Point Attempt 50.0% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 28.9% 26.0%
Player Fouled 15.7% 17.8%
Turnover 11.4% 13.9%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO CLE
Shot Blocked 3.7% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 23.0%