NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO CLE
Points 112.6 109.9
Total Points   222.5
Points From 2-Pointers 57.6 53.3
Points From 3-Pointers 36.7 41.0
Points From Free Throws 18.2 15.6
Shooting PHO CLE
Field Goals Made 41.1 40.3
Field Goals Attempted 83.6 88.9
Field Goal % 49.1% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 28.8 26.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.2 51.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 12.2 13.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.4 37.8
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 18.2 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 20.5
Free Throw % 80.9% 76.2%
Ball Control PHO CLE
Rebounds 49.4 46.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.8 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 11.9
Turnovers 13.5 11.5
Blocked Shots 5.4 3.8
Steals 6.9 7.6
Fouls 16.5 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Cleveland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO CLE
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 97.1 100.5
% of Possessions with PHO CLE
2 Point Attempt 46.5% 44.7%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 33.1%
Player Fouled 16.7% 16.5%
Turnover 13.5% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO CLE
Shot Blocked 4.4% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 23.4%