NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO LAC
Points 114.5 113.0
Total Points   227.5
Points From 2-Pointers 58.5 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 37.0 38.6
Points From Free Throws 19.0 18.4
Shooting PHO LAC
Field Goals Made 41.6 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 85.1 88.3
Field Goal % 48.9% 46.3%
2 Pointers Made 29.3 28.0
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 12.3 12.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.6 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 37.8%
Free Throws Made 19.0 18.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 22.1
Free Throw % 80.9% 83.0%
Ball Control PHO LAC
Rebounds 48.6 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 36.6 33.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 12.3
Turnovers 12.7 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.1
Steals 6.6 7.6
Fouls 16.4 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO LAC
Total Possessions 99.9
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 101.0
% of Possessions with PHO LAC
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 29.8%
Player Fouled 17.8% 16.4%
Turnover 12.7% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO LAC
Shot Blocked 4.7% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 25.2%