NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO MEM
Points 116.2 104.8
Total Points   221.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.0 48.1
Points From 3-Pointers 38.8 40.2
Points From Free Throws 19.4 16.5
Shooting PHO MEM
Field Goals Made 41.9 37.5
Field Goals Attempted 83.4 90.5
Field Goal % 50.3% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 24.1
2 Pointers Attempted 50.5 51.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.9 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 32.9 38.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.2% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 19.4 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 21.5
Free Throw % 80.9% 76.6%
Ball Control PHO MEM
Rebounds 52.2 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 40.9 32.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 14.0
Turnovers 15.1 12.8
Blocked Shots 6.9 5.3
Steals 7.3 8.5
Fouls 16.4 18.2

Playing Style Advantage: Memphis

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO MEM
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 97.6 102.7
% of Possessions with PHO MEM
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 43.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 32.8%
Player Fouled 17.9% 16.1%
Turnover 14.9% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO MEM
Shot Blocked 6.0% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.9% 25.6%