NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO ATL
Points 123.3 114.6
Total Points   237.9
Points From 2-Pointers 63.7 55.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.6 41.6
Points From Free Throws 19.0 17.8
Shooting PHO ATL
Field Goals Made 45.4 41.4
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 93.4
Field Goal % 52.8% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 31.8 27.6
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 55.1
2 Point Shooting % 60.6% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 13.5 13.9
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 38.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.7% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 19.0 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 22.7
Free Throw % 80.7% 78.3%
Ball Control PHO ATL
Rebounds 50.4 46.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.6 32.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 14.4
Turnovers 14.0 11.3
Blocked Shots 5.9 3.9
Steals 6.8 7.6
Fouls 16.5 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO ATL
Total Possessions 103.3
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 106.4
% of Possessions with PHO ATL
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 31.9%
Player Fouled 17.2% 16.0%
Turnover 13.6% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO ATL
Shot Blocked 4.2% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 26.7%