NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO UTA
Points 124.0 114.2
Total Points   238.1
Points From 2-Pointers 61.9 55.8
Points From 3-Pointers 43.0 39.4
Points From Free Throws 19.0 19.0
Shooting PHO UTA
Field Goals Made 45.3 41.0
Field Goals Attempted 88.2 91.4
Field Goal % 51.3% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 30.9 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 53.6 54.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.3 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 37.2
3 Point Shooting % 41.4% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 19.0 19.0
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 22.7
Free Throw % 80.9% 83.7%
Ball Control PHO UTA
Rebounds 48.3 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.7 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 14.7
Turnovers 12.0 12.9
Blocked Shots 7.0 4.6
Steals 7.5 6.4
Fouls 16.3 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO UTA
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 101.9 104.3
% of Possessions with PHO UTA
2 Point Attempt 46.2% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.9% 31.0%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.0%
Turnover 11.7% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO UTA
Shot Blocked 5.2% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 25.6% 28.7%