NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO SAC
Points 114.7 114.3
Total Points   229.0
Points From 2-Pointers 57.0 55.3
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 43.4
Points From Free Throws 20.3 15.5
Shooting PHO SAC
Field Goals Made 40.9 42.1
Field Goals Attempted 82.5 92.3
Field Goal % 49.6% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.5 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 51.5 52.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.4% 52.5%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 14.5
3 Pointers Attempted 31.1 39.6
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 20.3 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 20.8
Free Throw % 80.9% 74.6%
Ball Control PHO SAC
Rebounds 48.9 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 34.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 13.5
Turnovers 14.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.8
Steals 6.5 8.0
Fouls 16.0 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Sacramento

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO SAC
Total Possessions 101.9
Effective Scoring Chances 97.5 104.6
% of Possessions with PHO SAC
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 33.8%
Player Fouled 18.8% 15.7%
Turnover 13.8% 10.7%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO SAC
Shot Blocked 4.2% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 21.9% 25.7%