NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO NO
Points 112.3 111.1
Total Points   223.4
Points From 2-Pointers 55.1 57.3
Points From 3-Pointers 39.1 36.6
Points From Free Throws 18.1 17.1
Shooting PHO NO
Field Goals Made 40.6 40.9
Field Goals Attempted 83.0 89.1
Field Goal % 48.9% 45.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.6 28.7
2 Pointers Attempted 47.8 55.8
2 Point Shooting % 57.7% 51.4%
3 Pointers Made 13.0 12.2
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 33.4
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 18.1 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 21.9
Free Throw % 80.9% 77.9%
Ball Control PHO NO
Rebounds 48.1 46.8
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 34.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 12.5
Turnovers 14.2 11.2
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.0
Steals 6.0 8.4
Fouls 15.8 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO NO
Total Possessions 100.3
Effective Scoring Chances 96.4 101.7
% of Possessions with PHO NO
2 Point Attempt 42.6% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 31.4% 29.0%
Player Fouled 17.7% 15.8%
Turnover 14.1% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 8.4% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO NO
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 24.9%