NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO DET
Points 120.7 108.0
Total Points   228.6
Points From 2-Pointers 64.8 56.2
Points From 3-Pointers 34.8 34.7
Points From Free Throws 21.1 17.1
Shooting PHO DET
Field Goals Made 44.0 39.6
Field Goals Attempted 84.2 90.1
Field Goal % 52.2% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 32.4 28.1
2 Pointers Attempted 54.2 56.9
2 Point Shooting % 59.8% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 30.0 33.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 21.1 17.1
Free Throws Attempted 26.1 21.9
Free Throw % 80.9% 78.3%
Ball Control PHO DET
Rebounds 49.6 45.5
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 32.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 12.6
Turnovers 12.7 12.6
Blocked Shots 6.4 3.9
Steals 7.8 6.9
Fouls 15.3 19.3

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO DET
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 99.6 102.4
% of Possessions with PHO DET
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 28.2%
Player Fouled 18.8% 15.0%
Turnover 12.4% 12.3%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO DET
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.2% 24.1%