NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO OKC
Points 111.2 116.9
Total Points   228.1
Points From 2-Pointers 53.3 59.0
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 40.4
Points From Free Throws 19.8 17.5
Shooting PHO OKC
Field Goals Made 39.4 43.0
Field Goals Attempted 84.6 90.4
Field Goal % 46.5% 47.5%
2 Pointers Made 26.6 29.5
2 Pointers Attempted 50.9 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 52.3% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 13.5
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 34.9
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 38.7%
Free Throws Made 19.8 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 21.4
Free Throw % 80.9% 81.5%
Ball Control PHO OKC
Rebounds 50.6 45.9
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 10.9
Turnovers 15.6 10.9
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.6
Steals 6.5 8.5
Fouls 16.8 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Phoenix

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO OKC
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 99.2 102.4
% of Possessions with PHO OKC
2 Point Attempt 43.5% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 30.2%
Player Fouled 17.0% 16.4%
Turnover 15.2% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO OKC
Shot Blocked 6.3% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.1% 22.2%