NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO MIN
Points 107.2 111.3
Total Points   218.5
Points From 2-Pointers 53.5 54.2
Points From 3-Pointers 33.8 39.1
Points From Free Throws 20.0 17.9
Shooting PHO MIN
Field Goals Made 38.0 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 82.0 86.2
Field Goal % 46.3% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 26.7 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 52.5 52.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 13.0
3 Pointers Attempted 29.5 33.9
3 Point Shooting % 38.1% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 20.0 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 23.2
Free Throw % 80.9% 77.2%
Ball Control PHO MIN
Rebounds 47.5 47.4
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.9
Turnovers 14.2 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.6 5.0
Steals 6.9 8.0
Fouls 17.8 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO MIN
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 96.5 99.9
% of Possessions with PHO MIN
2 Point Attempt 46.6% 46.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 29.9%
Player Fouled 18.5% 17.8%
Turnover 14.2% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO MIN
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 24.4%