NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO GS
Points 116.5 115.9
Total Points   232.4
Points From 2-Pointers 57.8 55.5
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 45.1
Points From Free Throws 19.0 15.4
Shooting PHO GS
Field Goals Made 42.1 42.8
Field Goals Attempted 87.0 93.3
Field Goal % 48.4% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.9 27.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 53.8
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 34.6 39.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.3% 38.0%
Free Throws Made 19.0 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.5 19.8
Free Throw % 80.9% 77.7%
Ball Control PHO GS
Rebounds 49.4 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 37.8 35.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 14.6
Turnovers 12.8 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.2
Steals 6.8 7.0
Fouls 15.1 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: Golden State

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO GS
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 101.0 104.9
% of Possessions with PHO GS
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 33.2%
Player Fouled 17.5% 14.8%
Turnover 12.5% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO GS
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 27.9%