NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHO WAS
Points 124.0 111.1
Total Points   235.2
Points From 2-Pointers 68.8 57.6
Points From 3-Pointers 34.0 38.1
Points From Free Throws 21.3 15.5
Shooting PHO WAS
Field Goals Made 45.7 41.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.2 92.7
Field Goal % 52.4% 44.7%
2 Pointers Made 34.4 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 56.1
2 Point Shooting % 60.4% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.3 12.7
3 Pointers Attempted 30.3 36.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.3% 34.7%
Free Throws Made 21.3 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 20.2
Free Throw % 80.9% 76.8%
Ball Control PHO WAS
Rebounds 54.1 43.0
Rebounds - Defensive 42.0 32.0
Rebounds - Offensive 12.1 11.0
Turnovers 13.6 11.9
Blocked Shots 6.7 4.2
Steals 7.2 7.5
Fouls 15.8 19.0

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHO WAS
Total Possessions 104.5
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 103.6
% of Possessions with PHO WAS
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 31.0%
Player Fouled 18.2% 15.1%
Turnover 13.0% 11.4%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PHO WAS
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.5% 20.7%