NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC ATL
Points 128.2 114.1
Total Points   242.3
Points From 2-Pointers 66.9 51.6
Points From 3-Pointers 43.1 43.0
Points From Free Throws 18.3 19.4
Shooting OKC ATL
Field Goals Made 47.8 40.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 91.6
Field Goal % 53.6% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 33.4 25.8
2 Pointers Attempted 54.5 52.4
2 Point Shooting % 61.4% 49.3%
3 Pointers Made 14.4 14.3
3 Pointers Attempted 34.7 39.2
3 Point Shooting % 41.3% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 18.3 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 22.3 24.8
Free Throw % 82.2% 78.3%
Ball Control OKC ATL
Rebounds 47.8 49.1
Rebounds - Defensive 38.5 33.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 15.2
Turnovers 12.0 13.8
Blocked Shots 7.0 4.3
Steals 7.7 6.4
Fouls 17.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC ATL
Total Possessions 104.6
Effective Scoring Chances 102.0 106.0
% of Possessions with OKC ATL
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 32.0%
Player Fouled 16.9% 16.3%
Turnover 11.5% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC ATL
Shot Blocked 4.9% 8.0%
Offensive Rebound 21.7% 28.3%