NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC CHA
Points 121.8 103.2
Total Points   225.0
Points From 2-Pointers 63.4 49.4
Points From 3-Pointers 41.9 38.5
Points From Free Throws 16.5 15.3
Shooting OKC CHA
Field Goals Made 45.6 37.5
Field Goals Attempted 87.4 86.5
Field Goal % 52.2% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 31.7 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 52.2 50.0
2 Point Shooting % 60.7% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 14.0 12.8
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 36.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.7% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.5 15.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 19.4
Free Throw % 81.6% 78.9%
Ball Control OKC CHA
Rebounds 49.4 44.6
Rebounds - Defensive 39.7 33.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 10.8
Turnovers 11.9 14.6
Blocked Shots 5.9 4.2
Steals 7.3 6.2
Fouls 15.7 16.5

Playing Style Advantage: Charlotte

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC CHA
Total Possessions 101.3
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 97.6
% of Possessions with OKC CHA
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 31.8%
Player Fouled 16.3% 15.5%
Turnover 11.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC CHA
Shot Blocked 5.0% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 21.5%