NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC UTA
Points 127.4 111.5
Total Points   238.9
Points From 2-Pointers 64.0 51.5
Points From 3-Pointers 45.6 39.8
Points From Free Throws 17.8 20.2
Shooting OKC UTA
Field Goals Made 47.2 39.0
Field Goals Attempted 91.3 88.9
Field Goal % 51.7% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 32.0 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 55.2 51.1
2 Point Shooting % 58.0% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 15.2 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 37.8
3 Point Shooting % 42.1% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.8 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 24.1
Free Throw % 81.6% 83.7%
Ball Control OKC UTA
Rebounds 46.1 50.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 35.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 15.1
Turnovers 10.4 16.0
Blocked Shots 8.3 5.3
Steals 8.6 5.7
Fouls 16.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC UTA
Total Possessions 103.7
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 102.8
% of Possessions with OKC UTA
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.2% 30.9%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.0%
Turnover 10.1% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC UTA
Shot Blocked 6.1% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.1% 29.5%