NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC UTA
Points 127.8 112.5
Total Points   240.3
Points From 2-Pointers 64.4 51.8
Points From 3-Pointers 45.5 40.3
Points From Free Throws 18.0 20.4
Shooting OKC UTA
Field Goals Made 47.3 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 91.4 89.1
Field Goal % 51.8% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 32.2 25.9
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 51.2
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 15.2 13.4
3 Pointers Attempted 36.1 37.9
3 Point Shooting % 42.0% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 18.0 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 24.4
Free Throw % 82.2% 83.7%
Ball Control OKC UTA
Rebounds 45.9 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 35.8 35.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 15.1
Turnovers 10.4 15.8
Blocked Shots 8.3 5.2
Steals 8.5 5.5
Fouls 16.8 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC UTA
Total Possessions 103.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.5 103.1
% of Possessions with OKC UTA
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 31.0%
Player Fouled 16.4% 16.2%
Turnover 10.0% 15.2%
Opponent Steal 5.3% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC UTA
Shot Blocked 6.0% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.2% 29.7%