NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC LAL
Points 121.0 113.3
Total Points   234.4
Points From 2-Pointers 63.7 57.0
Points From 3-Pointers 42.3 36.9
Points From Free Throws 15.0 19.4
Shooting OKC LAL
Field Goals Made 46.0 40.8
Field Goals Attempted 93.0 85.7
Field Goal % 49.4% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 31.9 28.5
2 Pointers Attempted 57.1 53.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 53.8%
3 Pointers Made 14.1 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 35.9 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 37.6%
Free Throws Made 15.0 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 25.0
Free Throw % 82.2% 77.6%
Ball Control OKC LAL
Rebounds 47.6 48.0
Rebounds - Defensive 37.5 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.9
Turnovers 11.2 14.4
Blocked Shots 6.1 4.8
Steals 8.1 6.2
Fouls 17.7 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC LAL
Total Possessions 104.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 99.8
% of Possessions with OKC LAL
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 28.0%
Player Fouled 13.9% 17.0%
Turnover 10.8% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 6.0% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC LAL
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 20.9%