NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC DAL
Points 114.3 111.5
Total Points   225.7
Points From 2-Pointers 58.5 51.4
Points From 3-Pointers 38.2 42.1
Points From Free Throws 17.5 17.9
Shooting OKC DAL
Field Goals Made 42.0 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 88.6 86.8
Field Goal % 47.4% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 29.2 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 54.7 48.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 14.0
3 Pointers Attempted 33.9 38.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.6% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 17.5 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 24.1
Free Throw % 81.8% 74.4%
Ball Control OKC DAL
Rebounds 47.6 50.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 38.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.6
Turnovers 11.0 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.4 5.3
Steals 7.3 5.9
Fouls 17.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Dallas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC DAL
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 100.6 100.9
% of Possessions with OKC DAL
2 Point Attempt 48.1% 41.8%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 32.9%
Player Fouled 17.1% 17.7%
Turnover 10.9% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC DAL
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 25.3%