NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC IND
Points 122.7 116.8
Total Points   239.5
Points From 2-Pointers 69.5 60.1
Points From 3-Pointers 32.1 39.8
Points From Free Throws 21.1 16.8
Shooting OKC IND
Field Goals Made 45.5 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 91.6
Field Goal % 51.4% 47.3%
2 Pointers Made 34.8 30.1
2 Pointers Attempted 60.7 55.3
2 Point Shooting % 57.2% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 10.7 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 27.8 36.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 36.5%
Free Throws Made 21.1 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 21.9
Free Throw % 81.5% 76.9%
Ball Control OKC IND
Rebounds 48.1 47.5
Rebounds - Defensive 37.7 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 12.7
Turnovers 11.7 13.0
Blocked Shots 6.3 5.8
Steals 6.6 6.5
Fouls 16.5 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC IND
Total Possessions 104.3
Effective Scoring Chances 103.0 104.1
% of Possessions with OKC IND
2 Point Attempt 51.9% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.7% 30.4%
Player Fouled 18.9% 15.8%
Turnover 11.2% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC IND
Shot Blocked 6.5% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 25.2%