NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC SA
Points 120.9 109.3
Total Points   230.1
Points From 2-Pointers 66.8 53.0
Points From 3-Pointers 37.6 39.8
Points From Free Throws 16.5 16.5
Shooting OKC SA
Field Goals Made 45.9 39.7
Field Goals Attempted 92.2 89.8
Field Goal % 49.8% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 33.4 26.5
2 Pointers Attempted 60.0 52.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 32.2 37.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 16.5 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.1 21.3
Free Throw % 82.2% 77.6%
Ball Control OKC SA
Rebounds 48.7 50.9
Rebounds - Defensive 39.0 37.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.0
Turnovers 11.4 15.5
Blocked Shots 6.0 6.0
Steals 8.9 6.2
Fouls 15.9 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC SA
Total Possessions 104.8
Effective Scoring Chances 103.1 102.3
% of Possessions with OKC SA
2 Point Attempt 51.3% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.6% 31.4%
Player Fouled 15.0% 15.1%
Turnover 10.9% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC SA
Shot Blocked 6.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.5% 25.0%