NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC MIN
Points 110.4 109.3
Total Points   219.7
Points From 2-Pointers 55.5 50.8
Points From 3-Pointers 36.0 39.4
Points From Free Throws 19.0 19.1
Shooting OKC MIN
Field Goals Made 39.7 38.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.0 84.1
Field Goal % 46.2% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 49.8
2 Point Shooting % 50.6% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 31.2 34.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 19.0 19.1
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 24.6
Free Throw % 81.5% 77.6%
Ball Control OKC MIN
Rebounds 45.9 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 38.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 12.1
Turnovers 12.3 14.9
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.8
Steals 7.9 7.0
Fouls 18.1 18.1

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC MIN
Total Possessions 101.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 98.7
% of Possessions with OKC MIN
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 29.6%
Player Fouled 17.8% 17.8%
Turnover 12.2% 14.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC MIN
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 25.2%