NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC MIN
Points 111.0 109.7
Total Points   220.7
Points From 2-Pointers 56.4 50.8
Points From 3-Pointers 35.7 39.4
Points From Free Throws 18.9 19.4
Shooting OKC MIN
Field Goals Made 40.1 38.6
Field Goals Attempted 86.1 84.2
Field Goal % 46.6% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.2 25.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.1 49.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.1% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 13.1
3 Pointers Attempted 31.0 34.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 38.2%
Free Throws Made 18.9 19.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.2 24.9
Free Throw % 81.6% 77.9%
Ball Control OKC MIN
Rebounds 45.8 50.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.1 38.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 12.2
Turnovers 12.3 14.9
Blocked Shots 5.5 5.7
Steals 7.9 7.0
Fouls 18.2 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC MIN
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 99.1 99.0
% of Possessions with OKC MIN
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 42.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 29.6%
Player Fouled 17.7% 17.9%
Turnover 12.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC MIN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 25.2%