NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring OKC POR
Points 123.2 104.4
Total Points   227.6
Points From 2-Pointers 67.7 51.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.6 35.8
Points From Free Throws 19.9 17.5
Shooting OKC POR
Field Goals Made 45.7 37.5
Field Goals Attempted 86.0 90.3
Field Goal % 53.1% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 33.8 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.0 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 62.6% 45.9%
3 Pointers Made 11.9 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.0 34.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 19.9 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 22.1
Free Throw % 82.2% 79.4%
Ball Control OKC POR
Rebounds 47.7 49.0
Rebounds - Defensive 38.1 32.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 16.2
Turnovers 12.1 15.5
Blocked Shots 7.8 4.3
Steals 8.8 6.5
Fouls 15.7 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats OKC POR
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 100.0 103.2
% of Possessions with OKC POR
2 Point Attempt 47.5% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.1% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 15.3%
Turnover 11.8% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken OKC POR
Shot Blocked 4.9% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 29.8%