NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN CHI
Points 113.9 105.1
Total Points   219.0
Points From 2-Pointers 52.4 55.9
Points From 3-Pointers 42.4 31.6
Points From Free Throws 19.0 17.7
Shooting MIN CHI
Field Goals Made 40.4 38.4
Field Goals Attempted 82.6 87.8
Field Goal % 48.9% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 26.2 27.9
2 Pointers Attempted 46.4 58.1
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made 14.1 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 36.2 29.7
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 35.4%
Free Throws Made 19.0 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 22.3
Free Throw % 77.6% 79.2%
Ball Control MIN CHI
Rebounds 49.4 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 12.1
Turnovers 13.2 11.7
Blocked Shots 5.4 4.1
Steals 6.6 7.4
Fouls 17.1 18.8

Playing Style Advantage: Chicago

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN CHI
Total Possessions 100.1
Effective Scoring Chances 97.1 100.6
% of Possessions with MIN CHI
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 26.0%
Player Fouled 18.8% 17.0%
Turnover 13.2% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN CHI
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 22.7% 23.7%