NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN LAC
Points 112.2 106.7
Total Points   218.9
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 52.6
Points From 3-Pointers 38.0 34.2
Points From Free Throws 18.4 19.9
Shooting MIN LAC
Field Goals Made 40.6 37.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.3 83.5
Field Goal % 48.1% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 26.3
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 53.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 49.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.7 11.4
3 Pointers Attempted 33.0 30.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 37.7%
Free Throws Made 18.4 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 23.6 24.0
Free Throw % 77.8% 83.0%
Ball Control MIN LAC
Rebounds 48.2 45.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 34.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 10.9
Turnovers 12.1 12.6
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.9
Steals 7.0 7.0
Fouls 17.6 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: LA Clippers

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN LAC
Total Possessions 98.9
Effective Scoring Chances 98.4 97.2
% of Possessions with MIN LAC
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 27.0%
Player Fouled 18.7% 17.8%
Turnover 12.3% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN LAC
Shot Blocked 4.8% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 23.0%