NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN ATL
Points 121.0 108.7
Total Points   229.7
Points From 2-Pointers 60.7 52.5
Points From 3-Pointers 41.5 36.9
Points From Free Throws 18.8 19.3
Shooting MIN ATL
Field Goals Made 44.2 38.5
Field Goals Attempted 85.1 88.9
Field Goal % 51.9% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 30.3 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 54.8
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.7 34.1
3 Point Shooting % 41.1% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 18.8 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.2 24.6
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.3%
Ball Control MIN ATL
Rebounds 49.5 46.9
Rebounds - Defensive 39.2 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 13.4
Turnovers 13.3 12.9
Blocked Shots 6.3 3.7
Steals 7.4 6.9
Fouls 17.6 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Atlanta

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN ATL
Total Possessions 102.5
Effective Scoring Chances 99.5 103.0
% of Possessions with MIN ATL
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 46.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 28.8%
Player Fouled 18.2% 17.2%
Turnover 13.0% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN ATL
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 25.5%