NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN UTA
Points 121.2 107.7
Total Points   228.9
Points From 2-Pointers 58.8 52.8
Points From 3-Pointers 44.0 34.6
Points From Free Throws 18.4 20.3
Shooting MIN UTA
Field Goals Made 44.1 37.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.5 86.5
Field Goal % 50.3% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 26.4
2 Pointers Attempted 52.4 53.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.1% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 11.5
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 32.9
3 Point Shooting % 41.8% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 18.4 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 24.2
Free Throw % 77.6% 83.7%
Ball Control MIN UTA
Rebounds 47.6 48.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 35.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 13.3
Turnovers 11.5 14.7
Blocked Shots 7.4 4.5
Steals 8.2 5.9
Fouls 17.3 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN UTA
Total Possessions 101.7
Effective Scoring Chances 101.3 100.3
% of Possessions with MIN UTA
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.6% 27.9%
Player Fouled 17.7% 17.0%
Turnover 11.4% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN UTA
Shot Blocked 5.3% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 26.7%