NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN UTA
Points 121.2 107.9
Total Points   229.1
Points From 2-Pointers 58.7 52.4
Points From 3-Pointers 44.2 35.1
Points From Free Throws 18.3 20.4
Shooting MIN UTA
Field Goals Made 44.1 37.9
Field Goals Attempted 87.1 85.7
Field Goal % 50.6% 44.2%
2 Pointers Made 29.4 26.2
2 Pointers Attempted 52.0 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 56.5% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 14.7 11.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 32.8
3 Point Shooting % 42.0% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 18.3 20.4
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 24.4
Free Throw % 77.1% 83.7%
Ball Control MIN UTA
Rebounds 47.5 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.2 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 12.8
Turnovers 11.6 14.5
Blocked Shots 7.5 4.5
Steals 8.0 6.0
Fouls 17.6 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN UTA
Total Possessions 101.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.9 99.5
% of Possessions with MIN UTA
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 28.0%
Player Fouled 17.8% 17.4%
Turnover 11.4% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN UTA
Shot Blocked 5.4% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 26.1%