NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN NY
Points 110.9 105.4
Total Points   216.3
Points From 2-Pointers 55.8 51.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.5 36.0
Points From Free Throws 17.5 18.2
Shooting MIN NY
Field Goals Made 40.4 37.6
Field Goals Attempted 82.4 86.7
Field Goal % 49.0% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 50.0 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 12.0
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 32.7
3 Point Shooting % 38.6% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 17.5 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 23.4
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.0%
Ball Control MIN NY
Rebounds 47.4 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 36.8 34.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 14.6
Turnovers 12.8 12.3
Blocked Shots 5.8 3.7
Steals 6.4 7.1
Fouls 17.1 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN NY
Total Possessions 98.2
Effective Scoring Chances 96.0 100.5
% of Possessions with MIN NY
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 28.4%
Player Fouled 18.1% 17.5%
Turnover 13.0% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN NY
Shot Blocked 4.3% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 28.4%