NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN NY
Points 110.6 105.1
Total Points   215.8
Points From 2-Pointers 55.4 51.2
Points From 3-Pointers 37.4 35.7
Points From Free Throws 17.8 18.3
Shooting MIN NY
Field Goals Made 40.2 37.5
Field Goals Attempted 82.3 86.5
Field Goal % 48.8% 43.3%
2 Pointers Made 27.7 25.6
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 54.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 12.5 11.9
3 Pointers Attempted 32.4 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 38.5% 36.6%
Free Throws Made 17.8 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 22.9 23.6
Free Throw % 77.8% 77.6%
Ball Control MIN NY
Rebounds 47.6 48.6
Rebounds - Defensive 36.9 34.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 14.5
Turnovers 12.7 12.2
Blocked Shots 5.7 3.7
Steals 6.3 6.9
Fouls 17.3 17.9

Playing Style Advantage: New York

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN NY
Total Possessions 98.1
Effective Scoring Chances 96.0 100.4
% of Possessions with MIN NY
2 Point Attempt 45.3% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.2% 17.6%
Turnover 13.0% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN NY
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 23.8% 28.2%