NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN LAL
Points 114.6 108.4
Total Points   223.0
Points From 2-Pointers 58.3 57.1
Points From 3-Pointers 41.0 31.9
Points From Free Throws 15.3 19.3
Shooting MIN LAL
Field Goals Made 42.8 39.2
Field Goals Attempted 89.2 83.6
Field Goal % 48.0% 46.9%
2 Pointers Made 29.1 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.2 55.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 51.9%
3 Pointers Made 13.7 10.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.0 28.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 15.3 19.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.7 24.9
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.6%
Ball Control MIN LAL
Rebounds 49.2 46.2
Rebounds - Defensive 38.2 37.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.8
Turnovers 12.5 13.4
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.2
Steals 7.8 6.7
Fouls 18.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN LAL
Total Possessions 102.2
Effective Scoring Chances 100.8 97.6
% of Possessions with MIN LAL
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 48.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.5% 25.2%
Player Fouled 15.0% 17.9%
Turnover 12.2% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN LAL
Shot Blocked 5.1% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 18.8%