NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN LAL
Points 113.8 108.5
Total Points   222.3
Points From 2-Pointers 57.3 57.2
Points From 3-Pointers 41.3 32.1
Points From Free Throws 15.3 19.2
Shooting MIN LAL
Field Goals Made 42.4 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.4 82.6
Field Goal % 47.9% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 28.6
2 Pointers Attempted 53.2 54.1
2 Point Shooting % 53.8% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 13.8 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 28.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 37.5%
Free Throws Made 15.3 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.9 24.8
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.5%
Ball Control MIN LAL
Rebounds 48.6 45.6
Rebounds - Defensive 37.4 37.0
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 8.6
Turnovers 12.2 13.1
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.3
Steals 7.7 6.6
Fouls 18.4 15.2

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN LAL
Total Possessions 101.1
Effective Scoring Chances 100.1 96.7
% of Possessions with MIN LAL
2 Point Attempt 46.7% 48.4%
3 Point Attempt 30.9% 25.5%
Player Fouled 15.0% 18.2%
Turnover 12.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN LAL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 18.7%