NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN ORL
Points 106.6 101.7
Total Points   208.3
Points From 2-Pointers 54.2 52.0
Points From 3-Pointers 33.0 29.8
Points From Free Throws 19.3 19.9
Shooting MIN ORL
Field Goals Made 38.1 35.9
Field Goals Attempted 79.4 81.5
Field Goal % 48.0% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.1 26.0
2 Pointers Attempted 49.9 52.9
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 49.1%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.5 28.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.4% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 19.3 19.9
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 26.3
Free Throw % 77.9% 75.7%
Ball Control MIN ORL
Rebounds 46.4 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 37.0 34.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 11.7
Turnovers 14.6 14.0
Blocked Shots 5.2 4.2
Steals 7.8 7.8
Fouls 19.4 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN ORL
Total Possessions 99.3
Effective Scoring Chances 94.1 97.0
% of Possessions with MIN ORL
2 Point Attempt 45.2% 46.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 25.2%
Player Fouled 20.1% 19.5%
Turnover 14.7% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN ORL
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 21.4% 24.0%