NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN DEN
Points 108.8 107.0
Total Points   215.7
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 59.3
Points From 3-Pointers 32.8 31.2
Points From Free Throws 18.8 16.5
Shooting MIN DEN
Field Goals Made 39.5 40.0
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 87.1
Field Goal % 46.7% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 54.9 58.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.7 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 36.8% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 18.8 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 21.5
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.0%
Ball Control MIN DEN
Rebounds 48.2 48.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.1 36.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 12.1
Turnovers 11.5 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.7
Steals 6.7 6.4
Fouls 16.7 17.8

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN DEN
Total Possessions 99.2
Effective Scoring Chances 98.7 99.5
% of Possessions with MIN DEN
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.5% 25.4%
Player Fouled 17.9% 16.8%
Turnover 11.6% 12.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN DEN
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 24.6%