NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN DEN
Points 109.5 105.9
Total Points   215.4
Points From 2-Pointers 58.0 57.7
Points From 3-Pointers 33.1 31.5
Points From Free Throws 18.4 16.8
Shooting MIN DEN
Field Goals Made 40.0 39.3
Field Goals Attempted 84.7 86.2
Field Goal % 47.3% 45.6%
2 Pointers Made 29.0 28.8
2 Pointers Attempted 54.8 57.3
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 11.0 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 29.9 28.9
3 Point Shooting % 36.9% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 18.4 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.7 21.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 77.4%
Ball Control MIN DEN
Rebounds 48.4 47.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.3 36.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 11.8
Turnovers 11.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 5.5 4.5
Steals 6.6 6.5
Fouls 17.0 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN DEN
Total Possessions 98.8
Effective Scoring Chances 98.5 98.6
% of Possessions with MIN DEN
2 Point Attempt 49.0% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 25.6%
Player Fouled 17.8% 17.2%
Turnover 11.6% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN DEN
Shot Blocked 5.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 24.0%