NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN DEN
Points 108.6 107.0
Total Points   215.5
Points From 2-Pointers 57.4 58.3
Points From 3-Pointers 32.7 32.0
Points From Free Throws 18.4 16.6
Shooting MIN DEN
Field Goals Made 39.6 39.9
Field Goals Attempted 83.9 85.6
Field Goal % 47.2% 46.6%
2 Pointers Made 28.7 29.2
2 Pointers Attempted 54.1 57.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.9 10.7
3 Pointers Attempted 29.8 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 18.4 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 23.9 21.3
Free Throw % 77.1% 77.7%
Ball Control MIN DEN
Rebounds 47.6 47.3
Rebounds - Defensive 36.5 35.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 11.3
Turnovers 11.6 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.6
Steals 6.5 6.6
Fouls 17.2 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN DEN
Total Possessions 98.3
Effective Scoring Chances 97.8 97.8
% of Possessions with MIN DEN
2 Point Attempt 48.7% 51.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.8% 25.6%
Player Fouled 18.0% 17.5%
Turnover 11.8% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN DEN
Shot Blocked 5.4% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 23.7%