NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN DET
Points 118.2 101.5
Total Points   219.7
Points From 2-Pointers 62.0 52.3
Points From 3-Pointers 35.9 30.7
Points From Free Throws 20.3 18.6
Shooting MIN DET
Field Goals Made 43.0 36.4
Field Goals Attempted 83.5 85.0
Field Goal % 51.4% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 31.0 26.1
2 Pointers Attempted 53.1 55.6
2 Point Shooting % 58.4% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 10.2
3 Pointers Attempted 30.4 29.4
3 Point Shooting % 39.3% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 20.3 18.6
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 23.7
Free Throw % 77.6% 78.3%
Ball Control MIN DET
Rebounds 49.3 45.2
Rebounds - Defensive 39.5 34.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 11.3
Turnovers 12.2 14.3
Blocked Shots 6.8 3.7
Steals 8.4 6.4
Fouls 16.4 19.9

Playing Style Advantage: Detroit

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN DET
Total Possessions 101.4
Effective Scoring Chances 99.0 98.4
% of Possessions with MIN DET
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 48.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.0% 25.5%
Player Fouled 19.6% 16.2%
Turnover 12.0% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 6.3% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN DET
Shot Blocked 4.5% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 22.2%