NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN WAS
Points 121.5 105.5
Total Points   227.1
Points From 2-Pointers 65.6 54.9
Points From 3-Pointers 34.9 33.7
Points From Free Throws 21.0 16.9
Shooting MIN WAS
Field Goals Made 44.5 38.7
Field Goals Attempted 86.6 88.2
Field Goal % 51.3% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 32.8 27.4
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 55.7
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.6 11.2
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 32.5
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 21.0 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.9 22.0
Free Throw % 77.9% 76.8%
Ball Control MIN WAS
Rebounds 53.7 43.2
Rebounds - Defensive 41.7 33.3
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 9.9
Turnovers 13.0 13.4
Blocked Shots 7.0 4.1
Steals 7.7 6.9
Fouls 16.9 19.8

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN WAS
Total Possessions 103.7
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 100.2
% of Possessions with MIN WAS
2 Point Attempt 47.6% 47.9%
3 Point Attempt 26.2% 27.9%
Player Fouled 19.1% 16.3%
Turnover 12.5% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN WAS
Shot Blocked 4.7% 8.2%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 19.2%