NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MIN WAS
Points 121.4 104.8
Total Points   226.2
Points From 2-Pointers 65.8 54.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.0 33.9
Points From Free Throws 20.5 16.9
Shooting MIN WAS
Field Goals Made 44.6 38.3
Field Goals Attempted 86.6 88.0
Field Goal % 51.5% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 32.9 27.1
2 Pointers Attempted 55.8 55.4
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 48.8%
3 Pointers Made 11.7 11.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.8 32.6
3 Point Shooting % 37.9% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 20.5 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 22.0
Free Throw % 77.6% 76.8%
Ball Control MIN WAS
Rebounds 53.7 43.1
Rebounds - Defensive 41.8 33.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 9.9
Turnovers 13.0 13.5
Blocked Shots 7.2 4.0
Steals 7.7 7.0
Fouls 17.0 19.7

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MIN WAS
Total Possessions 103.5
Effective Scoring Chances 102.4 99.9
% of Possessions with MIN WAS
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.3% 28.1%
Player Fouled 19.0% 16.4%
Turnover 12.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MIN WAS
Shot Blocked 4.7% 8.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 19.1%