NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR BOS
Points 102.0 121.7
Total Points   223.7
Points From 2-Pointers 53.0 59.1
Points From 3-Pointers 35.9 44.9
Points From Free Throws 13.1 17.7
Shooting POR BOS
Field Goals Made 38.4 44.5
Field Goals Attempted 94.8 87.6
Field Goal % 40.6% 50.8%
2 Pointers Made 26.5 29.6
2 Pointers Attempted 59.6 47.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 62.1%
3 Pointers Made 12.0 15.0
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 40.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 13.1 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 22.4
Free Throw % 79.4% 79.1%
Ball Control POR BOS
Rebounds 49.4 53.2
Rebounds - Defensive 33.7 41.3
Rebounds - Offensive 15.7 11.9
Turnovers 12.1 11.0
Blocked Shots 3.3 7.8
Steals 5.5 7.3
Fouls 16.6 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR BOS
Total Possessions 100.2
Effective Scoring Chances 103.8 101.1
% of Possessions with POR BOS
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 41.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.6% 35.3%
Player Fouled 13.4% 16.6%
Turnover 12.1% 11.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR BOS
Shot Blocked 9.0% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 26.2%