NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR ATL
Points 115.5 120.3
Total Points   235.8
Points From 2-Pointers 61.3 62.8
Points From 3-Pointers 37.3 37.0
Points From Free Throws 16.9 20.5
Shooting POR ATL
Field Goals Made 43.1 43.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 88.4
Field Goal % 47.6% 49.5%
2 Pointers Made 30.6 31.4
2 Pointers Attempted 56.9 53.3
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 58.9%
3 Pointers Made 12.4 12.3
3 Pointers Attempted 33.6 35.1
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 16.9 20.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 26.2
Free Throw % 79.4% 78.3%
Ball Control POR ATL
Rebounds 48.2 48.7
Rebounds - Defensive 34.2 35.3
Rebounds - Offensive 14.0 13.4
Turnovers 13.9 12.5
Blocked Shots 4.7 5.3
Steals 6.9 7.8
Fouls 18.6 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR ATL
Total Possessions 103.1
Effective Scoring Chances 103.2 104.0
% of Possessions with POR ATL
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 29.7%
Player Fouled 15.5% 18.0%
Turnover 13.5% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR ATL
Shot Blocked 6.1% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.4% 28.2%