NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR UTA
Points 116.4 120.2
Total Points   236.6
Points From 2-Pointers 55.7 60.1
Points From 3-Pointers 40.0 40.0
Points From Free Throws 20.7 20.2
Shooting POR UTA
Field Goals Made 41.2 43.3
Field Goals Attempted 88.5 88.7
Field Goal % 46.6% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 27.9 30.0
2 Pointers Attempted 51.4 52.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.1% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 13.3 13.3
3 Pointers Attempted 37.0 36.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.0% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 20.7 20.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 25.7
Free Throw % 79.8% 78.6%
Ball Control POR UTA
Rebounds 45.6 52.3
Rebounds - Defensive 34.6 38.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 13.5
Turnovers 11.5 13.4
Blocked Shots 4.9 4.7
Steals 6.6 5.7
Fouls 18.3 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR UTA
Total Possessions 104.0
Effective Scoring Chances 103.4 104.1
% of Possessions with POR UTA
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 31.7% 30.3%
Player Fouled 17.9% 17.6%
Turnover 11.1% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR UTA
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 22.0% 28.0%