NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR UTA
Points 115.6 119.8
Total Points   235.4
Points From 2-Pointers 59.2 63.6
Points From 3-Pointers 39.7 34.7
Points From Free Throws 16.7 21.5
Shooting POR UTA
Field Goals Made 42.9 43.4
Field Goals Attempted 93.4 86.0
Field Goal % 45.9% 50.5%
2 Pointers Made 29.6 31.8
2 Pointers Attempted 58.3 52.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.8% 61.1%
3 Pointers Made 13.2 11.6
3 Pointers Attempted 35.1 33.8
3 Point Shooting % 37.7% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 16.7 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 25.7
Free Throw % 79.4% 83.7%
Ball Control POR UTA
Rebounds 46.5 50.1
Rebounds - Defensive 31.3 37.1
Rebounds - Offensive 15.1 13.1
Turnovers 12.1 14.3
Blocked Shots 5.6 6.4
Steals 7.6 6.7
Fouls 18.2 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR UTA
Total Possessions 102.4
Effective Scoring Chances 105.4 101.1
% of Possessions with POR UTA
2 Point Attempt 48.5% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 28.8%
Player Fouled 15.0% 17.8%
Turnover 11.8% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR UTA
Shot Blocked 7.6% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 29.0% 29.4%