NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR ORL
Points 100.7 112.5
Total Points   213.2
Points From 2-Pointers 54.4 61.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.2 29.7
Points From Free Throws 17.1 21.2
Shooting POR ORL
Field Goals Made 36.9 40.7
Field Goals Attempted 84.5 81.4
Field Goal % 43.7% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 27.2 30.8
2 Pointers Attempted 55.3 51.8
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 59.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.7 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 29.1 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 17.1 21.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 27.8
Free Throw % 79.4% 76.1%
Ball Control POR ORL
Rebounds 44.7 48.8
Rebounds - Defensive 32.3 36.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 11.9
Turnovers 15.3 13.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 6.1
Steals 7.4 8.8
Fouls 20.4 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Orlando

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR ORL
Total Possessions 100.0
Effective Scoring Chances 97.1 98.2
% of Possessions with POR ORL
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 26.0%
Player Fouled 17.0% 20.4%
Turnover 15.3% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR ORL
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 26.9%