NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR DEN
Points 103.8 119.4
Total Points   223.1
Points From 2-Pointers 57.2 70.6
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 31.2
Points From Free Throws 17.1 17.6
Shooting POR DEN
Field Goals Made 38.4 45.7
Field Goals Attempted 90.4 86.6
Field Goal % 42.5% 52.8%
2 Pointers Made 28.6 35.3
2 Pointers Attempted 60.7 57.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 62.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 10.4
3 Pointers Attempted 29.8 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.1% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 17.1 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 22.8
Free Throw % 79.4% 77.0%
Ball Control POR DEN
Rebounds 46.7 50.5
Rebounds - Defensive 31.7 38.6
Rebounds - Offensive 14.9 11.9
Turnovers 12.1 11.6
Blocked Shots 3.9 6.7
Steals 6.2 7.2
Fouls 17.7 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Portland

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR DEN
Total Possessions 99.8
Effective Scoring Chances 102.7 100.1
% of Possessions with POR DEN
2 Point Attempt 51.7% 50.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.1%
Player Fouled 15.3% 17.7%
Turnover 12.1% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken POR DEN
Shot Blocked 7.8% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 27.3%